ROPICS UPDATE | TNWU Hurricane Operations Division

📅 August 5, 2025 | Tuesday | 5:00 AM EDT

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🌀 Tropical Storm Dexter Weakening

Tropical Storm Dexter continues to lose strength as it races northeastward across the North Atlantic. The system is expected to transition into a large extratropical (non-tropical) storm over the next couple of days. While it poses no threat to the United States, rain and gusty winds are likely for parts of northwestern Europe next week.

📍 Atlantic Watch Areas (NHC - 5AM Outlook)

🔴 Eastern Atlantic Tropical Wave – 50% Chance of Development

A tropical wave currently in the eastern Atlantic is being monitored closely by the National Hurricane Center (NHC). While model guidance is not yet in agreement on its path, the general consensus supports a northward curve into the central Atlantic.

• 🌡️ Development Potential: 50% (Next 7 Days)
• 🧭 Track Confidence: Low (until center forms)
• 🔍 Model Insight: Awaiting clearer signals once a center of circulation is established.

🟡 Southeast U.S. Coast – Weak System Forming

A weak low-pressure area may develop later this week near the Southeast U.S. coast, with some model runs indicating possible tropical depression status.

• 🚫 No major threat expected
• 🌧️ Increased rain and clouds likely for eastern North Carolina & Outer Banks
• 🌊 Minor marine impacts possible

🔍 Off-the-Map Observations

🔵 Eastern Gulf of Mexico – Unlisted Low

Although not highlighted by the NHC, both the EURO and GFS models suggest a weak low-pressure may develop in the eastern Gulf as early as Friday, moving north from Cuba toward the Florida Panhandle.

• 🔁 EURO Model: 30% chance of tropical depression development
• 🌬️ Impact: More southeast winds, elevated tropical moisture, enhanced rainfall
• 🌧️ Expect wet conditions this weekend across the western half of Florida

🔮 Looking Ahead: Another Strong Wave

Another vigorous tropical wave is set to emerge off the West African coast in the coming days. Long-range models are hinting that this could be the first significant storm to track across the entire Atlantic Basin this season.

• 🧭 Path Projection: Potential southern track toward the Caribbean or Islands
• 📉 Too early for specifics – no development yet
• 🧠 Worth monitoring closely

🗣️ TNWU Hurricane Division will continue to monitor all developments and issue frequent updates. Stay tuned for more on-air and online.

📍 Issued: Tuesday, August 5, 2025 – 5:00 AM EDT
📍 Source: TNW News Weather Operations - Hurricane Division
📍 Location: Aurora, IL