TNW NEWS HURRICANE OPERATIONS DIVISION BULLETIN

DATE: Sunday, July 13, 2025

TIME: 4:03 PM Central Daylight Time (CDT)

LOCATION: TNW News Hurricane Operations Center – Aurora, Illinois

Prepared by: Chief Todd Nardone, General Manager & Director, TNW Hurricane Operations Division

Website: TNWWeather.com/hurricane-center

4PM CDT UPDATE — TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE IN GULF LATER THIS WEEK

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is tracking a trough of low pressure expected to:

Form near the Southeast U.S. coast in 24–48 hours

Move westward across Florida early this week

Enter the northeastern Gulf of Mexico by Tuesday

While currently disorganized, environmental conditions could support gradual development mid-to-late week.

FORMATION OUTLOOK:

Next 48 hours: Near 0%

Next 7 days: 20% (Low)

FLOODING CONCERNS:

Regardless of tropical development, heavy rainfall is likely for:

The Florida Peninsula

The north-central Gulf Coast (mid-to-late week)

Localized flash flooding is possible, especially in low-lying and poorly drained areas.

TNW ACTION PLAN:

Monitoring 24/7 from the TNW Hurricane Operations Center

5x enlarged cone graphic issued

Next operational update by 8 PM CDT

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OFFICIAL LINKS:

hurricanes.gov

TNWWeather.com/hurricane-center

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