🌀 TNW Hurricane Operations Bulletin
Issued: Sunday, August 3, 2025 | 8:00 AM EDT
Prepared by: Todd Nardone, Chief of Hurricane Operations
With contributions from Rachel Nardone, VP of Weather Operations, and the TNW Breaking News Desk
TNW News, LLC | Hurricane Operations Division

Atlantic Tropics Update – Sunday Morning Briefing

The TNW Hurricane Operations Center is closely monitoring two systems in the Atlantic basin. While both systems currently pose low chances of development over the next 7 days, the situation may evolve as we move further into the peak of the hurricane season.

🔹 1. Frontal Low off the Southeast U.S. Coast

A frontal low-pressure area just offshore the North Carolina coast continues to show signs of limited organization. While tropical or subtropical development is not likely, some characteristics may form as it drifts northeastward through Monday.

• Chance of Tropical Formation (Next 7 Days): 10–20%
• Expected Impacts: Gusty winds, rain squalls, and coastal surf along parts of the Carolinas and Mid-Atlantic coast

🔹 2. Tropical Wave Approaching from Africa

A tropical wave is expected to emerge from the West African coast over the next 24–36 hours. Once over open water, slow development is possible as it moves westward into the central tropical Atlantic by midweek.

• Chance of Tropical Formation (Next 7 Days): 20–30%
• Monitoring Zone: 30°W to 45°W, south of 20°N
• Environmental Outlook: Warm sea surface temperatures but impacted by Saharan Air Layer (SAL)

🌍 Environmental Analysis & Satellite Overview

• Atlantic Basin: Warming SSTs support long-term development.
• Saharan Dust: Still suppressing convection in eastern MDR but beginning to retreat.
• No active systems in the Gulf of Mexico or Caribbean at this time.

⚠️ TNW Advisory Message

Although these systems are not expected to become tropical cyclones in the immediate term, the window for rapid development remains open in the coming weeks. This is a good time to:

• Check your hurricane supply kits
• Review your evacuation routes and communication plans
• Bookmark TNWWeather.com and follow @TNWWeather on all platforms

🔗 More Information

📲 For real-time storm updates, graphics, and forecast videos:

• Visit TNWWeather.com
• Follow @TNWWeather on X, Instagram, Threads, and YouTube

📡 Official tropical cyclone details also available at hurricanes.gov

🛑 TNW Graphic Use Policy
All visual materials, including TNW’s Trademark Cone Graphics, are proprietary and protected by TNW Hurricane Operations Protocol.
Unauthorized use or reproduction is strictly prohibited.

🌀 Issued from TNWU Hurricane Operations Center – Tiffin, Iowa
TNW News, LLC | Sunday, August 3, 2025 | 8:00 AM EDT