TNW News Hurricane Alert – Friday, June 13, 2025

Potential Tropical Cyclone Four-E Organizing Off Mexico’s Coast

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ZIHUATANEJO, MEXICO — A new tropical threat is emerging in the Eastern Pacific as Potential Tropical Cyclone Four-E gains strength south of the southwestern Mexican coastline. The system is forecast to become a tropical storm later today, prompting warnings and heightened vigilance for coastal communities from Guerrero to Colima.

According to TNW News Operations General Manager and Hurricane Division Chief Todd Nardone, the system shows signs of rapid consolidation and is expected to parallel the coast without a direct landfall — although its proximity brings risks of dangerous surf, flash flooding, and tropical storm-force winds.

Current System Status:

• Location: ~295 miles (475 km) south of Zihuatanejo, Mexico
• Movement: North-northwest at 9 mph (15 km/h), turning west-northwest by Sunday
• Winds: Sustained near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts
• Forecast: Likely to become a tropical storm later today and strengthen through Saturday

Alerts in Effect:

Tropical Storm Watch for portions of southwestern Mexico, including the coastal areas of Guerrero, Michoacán, and Colima.

“This system is expected to run parallel to the coastline, but even without a landfall, the impacts could be significant,” said Nardone. “We’re urging communities in the path to stay alert and prepare.”

Hazards Affecting Land:

Rainfall:

• 2 to 4 inches, with isolated totals up to 6 inches
• Risk of flash flooding and mudslides, especially in mountainous terrain

Wind:

• Tropical storm conditions possible within the watch area beginning Saturday

Surf:

• Swells expected to impact the coast through the weekend
• Life-threatening surf and rip currents likely — beachgoers urged to use extreme caution

For official rainfall graphics and updated advisories, visit the NWS Rainfall Forecast Page.

Broader Pacific Outlook:

In the wake of Barbara’s dissipation and Cosme’s weakening, the Eastern Pacific continues to show signs of heightened activity. Two additional disturbances are being tracked offshore Mexico with:

• 60% chance of development (System 1)
• 40% chance of development (System 2)

Though currently no threat to land, TNW Weather advises close monitoring as environmental conditions remain favorable for intensification.

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Next advisory expected by 9:00 AM CST from the National Hurricane Center.

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