🌀 TNW Hurricane Operations Update

Monday, June 16, 2025 | 11:45 AM CST

Tropical Threat Building Near Central America — TNW Tracking New Development Zone

SPRINGFIELD, IL (TNW Hurricane Operations Center) — A broad area of low pressure continues to stir over Central America and adjacent Pacific waters, and forecasters at the TNW Hurricane Operations Division are issuing heightened alerts today as environmental conditions favor tropical cyclone formation.

This system is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms across and offshore of El Salvador, Guatemala, and southeastern Mexico. However, satellite trends and upper-level patterns suggest that the disturbance will likely organize into a tropical depression within the next 24–48 hours.

🔍 Current Assessment:

"This system is on a fast track to becoming our next named storm," said Todd Nardone, General Manager and Chief of the TNW Hurricane Operations Division.
“With a high likelihood of formation and a forecast track hugging the Pacific coast of Central America, we are activating early marine and rainfall hazard alerts for the region.”

🌧️ Rainfall & Impacts:

• Heavy rain is expected regardless of tropical development.
• Flash flooding and mudslide risks are elevated across:
  Guatemala
  El Salvador
  Chiapas and Oaxaca (Mexico)
• Rainfall totals could exceed 6 inches in isolated areas.

📈 Formation Odds:

• Next 2 Days: 80% chance
• Next 7 Days: 90% chance

🗺️ Track Forecast:

The system is moving west-northwestward, parallel to the Central American coast. If a tropical depression forms, the system is expected to remain just offshore, though impacts from rain, surf, and wind may reach coastal communities.

TNW's First ALERT™ 1 Technology and TNWCon-510 Cone Graphic — which is 510% larger than standard NHC cones — are being deployed to provide expanded spatial awareness and early hazard zones.

📣 Advisory:

Residents along the coasts of El Salvador, Guatemala, and southeastern Mexico should:

• Monitor official alerts
• Prepare for flooding potential
• Stay tuned to TNWWeather.com and our social platforms

⚠️ "This system could strengthen quickly. Now is the time to prepare," said Nardone.

📊 TNW Hurricane Graphic Released:

• Shows broad disturbance centered south of El Salvador
• Cone extends across Guatemala and southeastern Mexico
• Branded with TNW News LLC and First ALERT™ 1 icon
• Cone uses TNW trademarked TNWCon-510 format, 5x larger than standard cones for advanced planning

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TNW First ALERT™, TNW Hurricane Operations Center, and TNWCon graphics are protected by trademark.

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