TNW NEWS OPERATIONS – HURRICANE OPERATIONS DIVISION – BOLTON

LIVE HURRICANE BULLETIN

Saturday, August 16, 2025 – 8:00 AM AST / 7:00 AM EDT

HURRICANE ERIN – LATEST TRACK AND IMPACTS

BOLTON, VT – The TNW News Hurricane Operations Division is tracking Hurricane Erin, now a rapidly intensifying Category 4 hurricane, making its closest approach north of the Leeward Islands as of this morning.

Current Position & Observatory Data (Advisory 20A – 8:00 AM AST / 7:00 AM EDT):

• Location: 19.6° N, 62.0° W — approximately 120 miles (195 km) northeast of Anguilla National Hurricane CenterWESHWBAL.
• Maximum Sustained Winds: 145 mph (230 km/h) — up from Category 2 as of Friday, now a major hurricane National Hurricane CenterWESHWBAL.
• Movement: West-northwest at 20 mph (31 km/h) National Hurricane CenterWESHWBAL.
• Minimum Central Pressure: 935 mb (27.61 inches), as measured by Hurricane Hunter aircraft National Hurricane CenterWESHWBAL.

Forecast & Hazards Ahead

• Track Outlook: Erin is expected to move just north of the northern Leeward Islands, the U.S. Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico over the weekend, before turning north early next week National Hurricane Center.
• Intensification: Rapid strengthening continues, with potential for further fluctuations in intensity through the weekend National Hurricane Center.
• Wind Field: Hurricane-force winds extend outward ~30 miles; tropical-storm-force winds expand up to ~125 miles, particularly to the north National Hurricane Center.
• Rainfall: Outer bands could deliver 2–4 inches of rain, with localized totals of 6 inches possible across the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico — increasing risks of flash floods, urban flooding, landslides, and mudslides National Hurricane Center.
• Marine Conditions: Expect dangerous surf and rip currents across the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and Turks & Caicos — with impacts spreading to the Bahamas, Bermuda, and the U.S. East Coast early next week National Hurricane Center.

Watch Areas

• Tropical Storm Watches are in effect for St. Martin, St. Barthelemy, and Sint Maarten. Conditions are possible within the next 12 hours National Hurricane Center.

U.S. Impact Outlook & Preparedness

While a U.S. landfall is not expected at this time, coastal areas from Florida’s east coast through New England and Bermuda should closely monitor Erin — rough surf, rip currents, and coastal flooding remain serious concerns WESHWBALWKMGWJXTThe Spokesman-Review.

Preparedness Notes

• Finalize hurricane kits, evacuation routes, and communication plans.
• Monitor TNWWeather.com and TNW News on X, Instagram, and Threads for continuous updates.
• TNW Hurricane Operations Division in Bolton, led by Chief Meteorologist Todd Nardone, will provide 24/7 live coverage as Erin progresses.