This Sunday, a large area of disturbed weather has formed over Central America, the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico, and the adjacent waters of the northwestern Caribbean Sea. A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form from this system over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico in a day or two. 

Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form by midweek while it moves slowly westward or west-northwestward. Regardless of development, several days of heavy rainfall are expected across portions of southern Mexico and Central America. 

These rains are likely to cause life-threatening flooding and flash flooding. It has a low (10 percent) chance of formation in the next 48 hours and a medium (60 percent) chance in the next 7 days.

An area of low pressure is forecast to form by midweek a few hundred miles northeast of the central Bahamas. Environmental conditions could be conducive for some development of this system thereafter while it moves westward or west-northwestward. It has a near zero chance of formation in the next 48 hours and a low (30 percent) chance in the next 7 days.

For more information, please visit: Hurricane.gov https://l.facebook.com/l.php

En Español:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATWOSAT.shtml